GTA market update
Where the Greater Toronto Area housing market actually stands, month by month — every municipality TRREB reports on, not a regional average that describes almost nowhere.
Latest · July 202637.1%sales-to-new-listings · Buyer's market · 4.6 months of inventory · average $1,003,956Underneath it: King at 20.8%, Burlington at 45.7%. Read the 27-municipality breakdown →Terms & definitions
How to read these numbers
The measures behind every monthly report, in plain language. The thresholds are the conventional ones the industry uses — stated here so you are never asked to take them on trust.
- SNLRSales-to-new-listings ratio
The share of a month's new listings that actually sold. It is the single quickest read on market balance — whether buyers or sellers hold the upper hand.
- Below 40%Buyer's market
- 40–60%Balanced
- Above 60%Seller's market
- MOIMonths of inventory
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace of sales, if no new homes came to market. Lower means homes sell faster and sellers have more leverage.
- Under 2Strong seller's market
- 2–4Seller's market
- Over 6Buyer's market
- SP/LPSale-to-list price ratio
The percentage of the asking price a home actually sold for. It tracks how much room buyers have to negotiate — or whether homes are selling over asking.
- Above 100%Sold over asking
- 98–100%Near asking
- Below 98%Room to negotiate
- DOMDays on market
How long a home takes to sell once listed. Lower means homes are moving quickly once priced right; higher points to buyers taking their time.
- Under 14Fast-moving
- 14–30Normal pace
- Over 30Slower / buyer's conditions
- HPIHome Price Index
A measure of price change for a "typical" home of consistent quality and size. Unlike the average, it is not distorted when the mix of homes sold shifts — more condos one month, more detached the next.
More reliable than average price for tracking true market direction month to month.
- YoYYear over year
Compares a figure to the same month a year earlier — July against last July, not against June. It strips out seasonal patterns, so a change reads as a real market shift rather than the calendar.
Sales up year over year while new listings fall is the classic sign of a tightening market.
- BoC rateBank of Canada overnight rate
The rate at which major banks lend to each other overnight, set by the Bank of Canada. It drives the prime rate and variable mortgage rates — the main lever the Bank uses to cool or stimulate the economy.
Lower rates → cheaper mortgages → more buyers → upward pressure on prices.
These describe the market. What a move costs you is a different question — the calculators work out land transfer tax, closing costs and what a lender will actually approve.
Every month
Get it monthly
The same figures, with what we make of them, sent once a month. No listings pushed at you, and one click to stop.
Send it to me